Snow or none?
Snow or none?
So what is the consensus? Are we in for an El Nino or La Nina?
- hrishi
- Posts: 40
- Joined: Mon May 08, 2017 1:43 pm
- Location: Boulder, Colorado
- Occupation: Earth System Scientist
Re: Snow or none?
As of now, a La NinaHarris wrote:So what is the consensus? Are we in for an El Nino or La Nina?
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... disc.shtml
- satsuma
- Posts: 188
- Joined: Sat May 03, 2014 10:31 pm
- Location: Walla Walla, WA
- Occupation: retired(?) chemical engineer
Re: Snow or none?
Can't be none since we have already had snow in the Blues, Elkhorn, and Wallowas.
Re: Snow or none?
We had a historically shitty winter last year. Little snow and warm temps. It's been the trend for the last couple of years. That is extremely rare where I'm at on the south shore of lake Superior. We are due for a real winter this year...
- fisheater
- Posts: 2601
- Joined: Fri Feb 19, 2016 8:06 pm
- Location: Oakland County, MI
- Ski style: All my own, and age doesn't help
- Favorite Skis: Gamme 54, Falketind 62, I hope to add a third soon
- Favorite boots: Alpina Alaska, Alico Ski March
- Occupation: Construction Manager
Re: Snow or none?
In SE Michigan we get some lame winters, even when I was a kid in the sixties before climate change. We have ea bumper crop of black walnuts to get the squirrels through a snowy winter. I will know better when my oaks drop their leaves, if a large percentage cling on past the leaf drop, I will be a happy skier. I have had two lame winters in a row, I believe it will be a good one this year.connyro wrote:We had a historically shitty winter last year. Little snow and warm temps. It's been the trend for the last couple of years. That is extremely rare where I'm at on the south shore of lake Superior. We are due for a real winter this year...
Re: Snow or none?
Ah yes, the oak leaves prediction. I'd be interested to see what that method predicts for us this year! Well, if you have another lousy year down there, you might consider getting up this way, even though we "don't have anything to ski"
- satsuma
- Posts: 188
- Joined: Sat May 03, 2014 10:31 pm
- Location: Walla Walla, WA
- Occupation: retired(?) chemical engineer
Re: Snow or none?
Snow forecast (in Blue Mountains) again for this weekend--looks like it may stick around this time
Forecast for the northwest is for more precipitation and colder weather than average, but less snow than last year. A later start to winter, although it hasn't looked that way at times.
Forecast for the northwest is for more precipitation and colder weather than average, but less snow than last year. A later start to winter, although it hasn't looked that way at times.
Re: Snow or none?
Here is NOAH's forecast for winter: http://www.noaa.gov/media-release/us-wi ... rier-south
Since they deal in probabilities, I think it could go either way depending on the geographical region. Maybe a winter that vacillates between the two (El Nino/La Nina) since NOAH is predicting 55+/- chance?
NOAH video:
Since they deal in probabilities, I think it could go either way depending on the geographical region. Maybe a winter that vacillates between the two (El Nino/La Nina) since NOAH is predicting 55+/- chance?
NOAH video:
Re: Snow or none?
Are the oak leaves offering up and insight yet for winter conditions this season? We got a few inches of crusty snow last night with more to come over the next few days.fisheater wrote:In SE Michigan we get some lame winters, even when I was a kid in the sixties before climate change. We have ea bumper crop of black walnuts to get the squirrels through a snowy winter. I will know better when my oaks drop their leaves, if a large percentage cling on past the leaf drop, I will be a happy skier. I have had two lame winters in a row, I believe it will be a good one this year.connyro wrote:We had a historically shitty winter last year. Little snow and warm temps. It's been the trend for the last couple of years. That is extremely rare where I'm at on the south shore of lake Superior. We are due for a real winter this year...
- fisheater
- Posts: 2601
- Joined: Fri Feb 19, 2016 8:06 pm
- Location: Oakland County, MI
- Ski style: All my own, and age doesn't help
- Favorite Skis: Gamme 54, Falketind 62, I hope to add a third soon
- Favorite boots: Alpina Alaska, Alico Ski March
- Occupation: Construction Manager
Re: Snow or none?
Down here we are getting to peak color. My lawn is pretty leaf covered, but most of the leaves are still on the maples. My hickory is a brilliant gold, but the oaks have just started to change slightly. It will be a good three to four weeks before I will know if the oaks will hold a good portion of the leaves through the winter. However bad news could come earlier with a sudden complete leaf drop earlier. We had some sleet today, at least it was white!connyro wrote:Are the oak leaves offering up and insight yet for winter conditions this season? We got a few inches of crusty snow last night with more to come over the next few days.fisheater wrote:In SE Michigan we get some lame winters, even when I was a kid in the sixties before climate change. We have ea bumper crop of black walnuts to get the squirrels through a snowy winter. I will know better when my oaks drop their leaves, if a large percentage cling on past the leaf drop, I will be a happy skier. I have had two lame winters in a row, I believe it will be a good one this year.connyro wrote:We had a historically shitty winter last year. Little snow and warm temps. It's been the trend for the last couple of years. That is extremely rare where I'm at on the south shore of lake Superior. We are due for a real winter this year...